Some Thoughts On Trump, Tariffs, and the Canadian Constitution

4 02 2025

I’m feeling a little bit guilty, albeit only a little bit. Canada is in a really difficult situation right now thanks to Trump’s plan to impose 25% tariffs on its exports to the US. I think that if I had been more proactive back in 2015-2017, Canada might be in slightly stronger bargaining position today. That sounds very arrogant and conceited but please hear me out.

Here’s the background as to why I feel a bit guilty. I’m a dual citizen of Canada and the UK and I feel a strong sense of loyalty to both countries. I feel a greater sense of debt to Canada because that’s where I grew up. My formative experiences there included a tremendous sense of material abundance that just wouldn’t be paralleled here in the UK. I doubt that I would have had the luxury of becoming an academic had I grown up in Britian. Canada invested in me (I’m thinking of various scholarships funded by private donors and taxpayers, research fellowships, nice juicy research contracts, etc) so I feel a sense that I should pay it back.

In 2015, I had the opportunity to do precisely that. I was the star expert witness in a Canadian constitutional court case that had the potential to reverse a historical miscarriage of justice in a way that would resulted in the dismantling of internal trade barriers and a boost to Canada’s economic output. Had my side in the court case prevailed, I think that Canada would today have interprovincial free trade, a higher standard of living, and greater bargaining power in the face of Donald Trump’s threats.  Many observers, including the OECD and the IMF have said that Canada’s internal trade barriers are dragging down productivity and living standards. Getting rid of them could boost GDP per capita by up to 4%.

Here is a summary of the court case and my role in it. R v Comeau was a fascinating case about beer, borders, and the Canadian Constitution. It started when when Gerard Comeau, a New Brunswick resident, was stopped by police immediately after crossing an interprovincial border. He was charged with buying cheap beer and liquor in Quebec and bringing it home, thus violating a New Brunswick statute that severely limits on how much alcohol residents can import from other Canadian provinces. Comeau’s lawyers, who were supported by a non-profit foundation, argued that this violated section 121 of the Constitution Act, 1867, which says that goods should be “admitted free” across provincial lines. I testified about the historical context and motivations for section 121 in the summer of 2015. (You can read my expert witness report here). The case was widely covered in the Canadian media and, because it coincided with a federal general election, was commented on by all but one of the party leaders. (see media coverage here, here, and here). In 2016, a trial judge delivered his verdict and agreed with our side, ruling that provincial trade barriers were unconstitutional. However, the Supreme Court of Canada overturned this decision in April 2018, ruling that provinces have the right to regulate goods crossing their borders, as long as the primary purpose isn’t to block trade.

At the heart of the case were competing views of section 121. Comeau’s legal team, and I, argued for a broad interpretation—that the section bans any provincial law that impedes free trade between provinces. That’s the interpretation of the section that is most consistent with the values of the free trading Victorian lawyers and politicians who created it. (See analysis of my arguments here, here, and here). On the other hand, the New Brunswick government and Canada’s top court leaned on a narrower reading, arguing that section 121 only prohibits outright tariffs on interprovincial trade, not non-tariff trade restrictions, such as sending the police out to arrest people who import beer from the next province.

You can read about my involvement in the case in this academic article and in a McGill-Queen’s University Press book that won a number of awards.

My involvement in the court case was primarily at the initial trial stage, when it was being litigated in New Brunswick. I flew to New Brunswick from Paris where I was then living with my family (LONG STORY), testified for several days, came back to Europe, and was then gratified to read the news that judge had found my interpretation of the Canadian constitution to be persuasive. Having discharged my contractual obligations, I then basically stopped doing any work related to the case, aside from penning a short opinion piece in the Globe and Mail newspaper. Perhaps I should have invested more time in the trying to create awareness in Canada in the constitutional issues at stake, for instance by writing more about it or speaking about in the Canadian media. However, I had other fish to fry. My employer, a UK university, wouldn’t have been that pleased had a spent a significant amount of time on doing media work that wasn’t connected to a REF Impact Case. (For various bureaucratic reasons, my expert witness work couldn’t be classified as Impact work for the purposes of the REF. The REF is the system by which research performance, including societal impact, is measured and incentivized in UK universities). So, I didn’t do much with respect to the Comeau case after the week I spend in New Brunswick. In invested my research time in other projects, including the production of articles to be published in journals in the famous FT50 journal list. Basically I did the rational thing and focused my research time on the activities that are rewarded the most in the UK academic labour market. I said above that I feel only a little bit guilty, not really guilty. That’s because it was necessary for me to focus on my own career. I’m now working on other REF Impact Case projects that are unrelated to Canada and which focus on disseminating knowledge to non-academic research stakeholders here in the UK.

I suspect that if I had done more to educate the Canadian public about the original intent for section 121 of the Canadian constitution, the Canadian Supreme Court might have ruled differently. Judges are socially situated and they can’t ignore the prevailing climate of thought in their society as they interpret the evidence presented in court. Its ruling, which was delivered unanimously and was apparently written by the Chief Justice, quoted extensively from my expert witness report but ultimately sided against my interpretation. Had the Supreme Court sided with me, the interprovincial trade barriers would have been declared unconstitutional—after further litigation and transition costs as inefficient producers went out of business, GDP in per capita would almost certainly have been higher. And Canada would have been in a stronger position to deal with Trump.

The US, Canada’s adversary in the current struggle over tariffs, does not hobble itself with internal trade barriers: over the last two centuries, state politicians have tried to create internally protectionist barriers (it’s a perennial temptation) but because their Supreme Court has consistently upheld the original intent behind the Commerce Clause, the unity of the American internal market has been largely maintained.  In the U.S., free trade between states is guaranteed by the Commerce Clause or Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. It gives Congress the power “to regulate commerce… among the several States,” which has been interpreted to prevent individual states from restricting trade or discriminating against out-of-state goods and businesses. Over the years, the Supreme Court has reinforced this principle through the “Dormant Commerce Clause” doctrine, which basically means that even when Congress isn’t actively legislating on interstate trade, states still can’t pass laws that unfairly burden commerce between them. This clause has had a huge economic and social impact—it helped create a truly national market, allowing businesses to grow beyond state borders and preventing economic fragmentation like we see in Canada with cases like R v Comeau. So, while provinces in Canada still fight over interprovincial trade barriers, the U.S. system—thanks to the Commerce Clause—has largely prevented that kind of economic balkanization.

In recent weeks, the threat of US tariffs has caused Canadians to discuss the subject of internal free trade with renewed vigour. There has been a lot of talk about eliminating these trade barriers through the expansion of existing interprovincial compacts (see here, here, here, and here), such as the New West Partnership. In my view, these initiatives are nice but their potential benefits are small relative to those that would come from a clear reversal of the position the SCC adopted in interpreting s. 121 in the Gold Seal case.

Don’t get me wrong. There are many other things that Canada had done to put itself in a weak bargaining position. For instance, it failed to follow up the splendid Canada-EU trade agreement it negotiated by building the east-west infrastructure (what I called Laurentian infrastructure in a nod to the Laurentian thesis associated with the late Donald Creighton) that would have allowed it to really take advantage of this paper agreement. I’m thinking in particular of the unbuilt pipelines to bring natural gas to Canada’s Atlantic ports, where it could have been liquified and sent to Europe. However, failure to bring about internal free trade has made a bad situation worse.

Perhaps a future Canadian government will have a policy of only appointing Supreme Court justices who agree with the view that Section 121 should be interpreted broadly rather than narrowly.   





How Business-Historical Research Can be Useful in Thinking About the Future of the AoM in the Age of Trump

7 02 2017
I’m a member of the Academy of Management,   a US-based organization that has been convulsed in the last week by an emotional debate about how the organization ought to respond to President Trump’s travel ban and the turn of events in the US (namely that an administration that is highly antagonistic to Muslim, Mexico, China, the European Union, etc). Since about half of the dues-paying members of the AoM work at non-US universities and some academics are talking about boycotting conferences in Trump’s United States, this issue is clearly important.
AoM members have been engaged in a lengthy debate about these matters on social media and on the AoM list-servs. Some members believe that the AoM’s upcoming conference, which is currently scheduled to take place in Atlanta, should be moved to Canada. Others think that the headquarters should be moved to Canada as well.
Here is my contribution to this list-serv debate. As you can see, I show how the research of my fellow business historians is useful in evaluating the view that the AoM’s interests would be best served by shifting its headquarters and events from the United States to a more neutral or at least welcoming country.  This email was written in response to a message from Prof. Andrew Maxwell, who works at a university in the Toronto area. (The AoM’s President is also based in Toronto).
Dear Professor Maxwell:

You make some interesting points about Toronto and Canada.

I see from social media that some people think that the AoM should relocate either its conference and/or its headquarters to Canada to hide the fact it is American.  Speaking as a historian of international business, I don’t know if that strategy would work. During and between the two world wars, some German firms incorporated in Switzerland and other neutral countries in an attempt to present themselves as non-German firms. This strategy worked for some but not all of these organizations.  In some cases, Western government officials saw through the ruse of incorporating in Zurich or Macau, as did some customers in those nations. (Consumers in that era were typically low information people).   I suspect that the many Middle Eastern and Chinese academics who currently pay to attend the AoM won’t be fooled if the mailing address is suddenly changed from Briarcliff Manor to Toronto.  They will realise that the AoM remains an essentially US organization, even if they membership fees are now billed in Canadian dollars and the website has a Canadian IP address. Whether that knowledge would change their willingness to pay to attend the AoM is something I don’t know. I suppose it depends on the extent to which they feel that the attitudes of the current US administration towards Muslims, Mexicans, China, etc reflect those of the US population.

The following pieces of business-historical scholarship may or may not provide useful lessons for the AoM leadership at this time.

Casson, M., & da Silva Lopes, T. (2013). Foreign direct investment in high-risk environments: an historical perspective. Business History, 55(3), 375-404.

Jones, G., & Lubinski, C. (2012). Managing Political Risk in Global Business: Beiersdorf 1914–1990. Enterprise and Society, 13(01), 85-119.

Smith, A. (2016). A LBV perspective on political risk management in a multinational bank during the First World War. Multinational Business Review, 24(1), 25-46.
Andrew

Regards,

Andrew Smith

 




The Price of Principles

30 01 2017

boycottapartheid

The last few days have seen extensive online discussions of Trump’s Muslim ban. There have been verbal denunciations by the leaders of most democracies (the UK being the obvious exception) and lots of virtue signalling by private citizens on social media. Talk is cheap though.

I think that the willingness of Western governments to oppose what Trump is doing will depend mainly on their assessment of how far their electorates are willing to pay to do so. If people say, “I am willing to accept a lower standard of living” as the price of doing the right thing in the letters to their parliamentarians, the government may be slightly more resolute. If people signal through action such as consumer boycotts that they really care about this issue, the government will notice. Talk is cheap, but boycotting Esso products and refusing to visit the US until the ban is repealed shows that one is serious.

To be brutally honest, I’m not certain how much I am willing to pay to oppose Trump’s policies. I’ve decided that I will no longer to fuel up at stations owned by ExxonMobil, since Secretary of State Rex Tillerson (who owns $245m in ExxonMobil shares) hasn’t denounced Trump’s policy. However, that’s not much of a sacrifice since there are plenty of non-Esso petrol stations where I live and the Esso station isn’t even the closest one to my house. The price per litre is basically the same. Beyond that, I’m not certain how far I am willing to go.

I would probably oppose any action by the UK government that had enough of an impact on UK government revenue as to impair its ability to subsidize the university sector, where I work. I suppose I have the luxury of favouring the adoption of the moral high ground by the UK government because I don’t work for a company that exports to the US.

I’m going to go on paying membership dues to the Academy of Management, a US organization that has remained silent on Trump’s Muslim ban, because being a member of this organization is essential to my career.  I’m still going to attend the Business History Conference in Denver in late March, since I know the members of that organization HATE what Trump is doing. I’ll try to avoid spending more than in necessary when I am there though. 

I was thinking about these moral issues when I went for my run today and I’m guessing that my willingness to oppose Trump’s Islamophobia extends to about £100 per year or so– that’s a very rough estimate and I arrived at that (arbitrary) figure through no particular methodology. The number just sounds right.

I’m wondering what Chris Blattman and others who think about the economics of effective altruism have to say about this issue. I would appreciate their advice.

 


 

Update: I wrote yesterday that the American Academy of Management had remained silent on the issue of Trump’s Muslim ban. A few minutes ago, Academy of Management sent out the following message from its President, who teaches in Canada.

Dear Friends and Colleagues in the Academy of Management:
I’m writing to you today as President of the AOM in the wake of the Executive Order signed by President Trump to suspend entry into the United States of citizens from Iran, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, and Yemen.

Thank you to those who have written to me and to other officers about the new restrictions on travel and their implications for AOM. Thanks as well to those of you who have posted on listservs and social media. The scores of messages that I have read reflect the diversity of our 20,000 members, and of the political, social and cultural traditions of the 127 nations where we live and work. Our members hold a range of views on the public policies that have recently been implemented. Many of you have expressed concern about travel to the Annual Meeting in Atlanta; many are interpreting the Executive Order as a direct attack on scholarship; and some are worried about the implication for pluralism on all sides of this issue. A number of you have asked the AOM to condemn the order as antithetical to scholarly values, academic freedom, and democratic processes. Yet because of our very diversity, the AOM has long had a binding policy that restricts any officer from taking a stand on any political issue in the name of the AOM.

I can affirm as President that the AOM stands behinds its vision, mission, objectives, and core values. The AOM fervently values all its members. We are committed to inclusion, supportive communities, and social and academic freedom as fundamental and undeniable tenets of scholarly association. Our values emphasize the full diversity of member backgrounds and experiences. The AOM Statement of Values expresses that “We respect each of our members’ voices and seek to amplify their ideas.” To enact our values, we are taking initiatives on several fronts. First, the AOM is suspending the requirement of attendance as a condition of inclusion in the program at the Annual Meeting for those affected by the travel restrictions. All scholars whose work is accepted to the conference but are not able to enter the United States from travel-restricted countries will have access to sessions in which they are presenting through virtual means. Second, we will also share with you, via our website, the best information that we have about Visa application processes for those who want to attend. We encourage any member from the affected countries who wishes to attend but cannot because of travel restrictions to contact us so that we can work with you toward participation.

Our mission is “To build a vibrant and supportive community of scholars by markedly expanding opportunities to connect and explore ideas.” To fulfill this mission, the AOM will soon hold specialized conferences outside the United States on topics proposed by and of interest to members. Please see our website for information on this initiative. I invite you to submit a proposal if you are interested in leading one. We also will continue working with our affiliates and associates around the world who convene meetings in support of management scholarship and teaching.

The vision of the AOM is to inspire and enable a better world through our scholarship and teaching about management and organizations. I encourage AOM members to double down on the scholarly agenda. Let us be more engaged, creative, and committed to scholarship and teaching on the issues of our day. Let us stand together in Atlanta in solidarity with our diverse membership as the world’s premiere association of management scholars and business-school professors. Academic integrity is our strength. Through our scholarly discussions and debate, we can find a way forward together. This is the AOM’s purpose and this cannot and will not change.
Sincerely,

Anita M. McGahan
President
Academy of Management

 

 





The Uses of History and the Anti-Trump Protests

22 01 2017

Yesterday, there were protests around the world against the new US President. (As a non-American, I’ve leave aside the issue of whether it is tactically wise to protest a president before he has implemented any policies, an issue that has been debated by Trump’s opponents). What’s interesting to me is the ways in which the past is being used to mobilize supporters and and create historical narratives that link Trump to both the opponents of votes for women and the anti-Semitic America First movement of the early 1940s. For instance, some of Trump’s enemies have been circulating a 1941 Dr Seuss cartoon about America First, while others have been dressing as 1910s suffragettes.  (Luckily Trump doesn’t own any racehorses).

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women-protest